Update: Springfield NWS expanded the Flash Flood Watch north and east.
Saturated ground and rain in connection with an upper level system lead to a flash flood watch for a portion of the Ozarks today including Springfield.
Southwest Missouri will be affected by a few upper level disturbances rotating around a larger low pressure area over the next few days.
One of these disturbances is in eastern Oklahoma this morning producing rain areas moving in the current watch area.
Another slightly stronger disturbances will swing north into the Ozarks later tonight.
The amount of moisture in a column of air (precipitable water) is running high and will continue to feed into the Ozarks for the next several days.
Thunderstorms which form will move fairly slow, contributing to higher rain totals. Some areas of southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas will see 3-4″ of rain with higher local totals possible.
A larger, slow-moving upper level low is forecast to develop and move over the Ozarks by mid-week, keeping us in the rain business through Wednesday.