So will severe weather happen this weekend in the Ozarks?
A lot of attention has been focus on a severe weather and tornado outbreak forecast for Easter in the deep south. Indeed, that looks like it has the makings of a bad situation: a strong jet stream interacting with a very moist and unstable air mass.
As for the Ozarks, we on the distant edge of this developing storm.
Much will depend on whether we can develop good heating Sunday afternoon which will be greatly dependent on cloud cover. We will have enough humidity to get storms going .
The structure of the wind in the atmosphere will allow for supercells and with fairly cold air in place, it looks like the primary threat for the Ozarks will be large hail.
Thunderstorms might form out ahead of the cold front and along it. The simulated radar loop below paints the picture fairly well.