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Thanksgiving Week Weather: UPDATE

Warm weather is ruling now! That won’t be the case later this week.

We also have two chances for thunderstorms over the next seven days, some of which could be severe.

The temperatures will be on a roller coaster. Sixties today and Tuesday will be followed by a cold snap of air for Thanksgiving. Warmer sixties will spread into the area again on Saturday before anther cold shot of air to start next week.

The severe storms are possible on the two warmest days: Tuesday and Saturday. The images below are the latest outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center.

Tuesday’s severe threat is mostly high winds. Humidity will be on the increase from the Gulf of Mexico starting Monday and into Tuesday evening. A favorable jet stream flow with strong surface winds will combine with weakly unstable air to produce the wind threat.

While it will turn colder on Thanksgiving with rain likely, it does look like the winter precipitation line will be north of the Ozarks. However, travelers to the Kansas City area or points north should be on the lookout for winter precipitation.

A large storm in the upper atmosphere will be forming and evolving over the western U.S. late week. This has the potential to spread severe thunderstorms over a larger area late Friday and on Saturday. Much will depend on the timing of return moisture, clearing skies/heating on either day and the exact timing of smaller disturbances exiting the larger storm aloft.