Rainfall Departure Last 30 Days
As I examine the weather charts today, I see lots of hot temperatures but also hints of a pattern that is breakable.
In particular, a backdoor front appears possible by late in the week. These fronts come at us from the northeast and can provide slightly cooler temperatures and slight rain chances. To what extent this front will actually make it into the Ozarks remains to be seen.
Before that front gets close, temperatures look hot. I expect mid-nineties today, upper nineties on Tuesday and readings near one hundred on Wednesday and Thursday. The front may put a dent in Friday temperatures,
The weekend looks hot after the backdoor front dissolves. This hot pattern is a reflection of the upper level ridge of high pressure building back over the central U.S. which it will do through early next week.
There is some evidence of another front by next week but as usual, confidence in its arrival in the Ozarks is low this many days out!
The enclosed image shows the departure from normal rainfall over the last thirty days in Missouri and northern Arkansas. Spotty rain areas during this period did produced a few pockets of lower departure but everyone is below normal in rainfall. There is no long-range and/or widespread solution to our drought that I can see over the next few weeks. The latest drought monitor index can be seen here, always updated on Thursday.