It looks like the model output I showed in a previous post this afternoon will come to pass!
Namely, the development of a bowing segment of severe thunderstorms over southern Kansas during the evening hours. A batch of severe thunderstorm cells over southwestern Kansas will probably form a cluster of severe weather which will likely “bow” out, causing a large area of damaging, straight-line winds.
This would travel roughly in the direction of southwestern Missouri and northwest Arkansas however much is still uncertain about the exact evolution of this weather system. A weather watch will likely be issued for that portion of Kansas and Oklahoma affected through the evening hours.
This watch will probably stop just short of the Ozarks for now. It looks like this would arrive after midnight.
Note: tornado watch for the a portion of the Ozarks from Springfield west until 2 am
Note also that the northern end of these storm clusters often produce the heaviest rains and that this might line up with areas that received the heaviest rain for the past two nights northwest of Springfield.
The situation will be monitored throughout the evening. I’ll have another update perhaps in the 9 o’clock hour.