Warm Week Ahead!

10am Radar

Did you spring forward?

The rain might just pass east fast enough to enjoy the first evening of “shifted daylight” .  If not, this week will provide some great evenings especially early on!

Today

Rain showers are in the area today. Expect more patches of rain and eventually a bit of thunder to develop in the Ozarks throughout the afternoon.

By this evening out east of Springfield, there might be enough unstable air riding out ahead of the bands of showers and storms for a small threat of severe storms.  I haven’t put out a severe storms forecast yet, I’ll keep monitoring the situation today.

All the rain will end rather abruptly as dry air moves into the area by evening in Springfield and by midnight out east.

Warmth This Week

A blast of seventies will arrive in the Ozarks this week!  In fact, 80 degree highs are on the table too.  It’s interesting to note how close we will come to record high temperatures, which I have listed here.  In particular, Tuesday and Wednesday have the best combination of lowest records and greatest warmth.

Throughout the week, humidity will build with dew points rising consistently into the 50′s or even 60′s.  This will lead to unstable air.

But any small disturbances showing up in the atmosphere are also pretty weak this week.  The overall jet stream energy is quite low.  Therefore, widespread or organized thunderstorm activity shouldn’t be an issue.  However, the computer models might not be latching on to the true strength of the winds so it just has to be watched day to day.  It does appear that the odds are better later in the week for storms. Friday stands out more than any other day.

Early Next Week

A huge storm in the upper atmosphere will park over the western U.S. early next week.  With lots of unstable and humid air in place, this will likely trigger several rounds of severe weather in the central U.S. How the Ozarks will be affected is not known this far out but heads up!